2016年3月27日星期日

Made in China, Using in China

There's a very interesting critics made by Chinese aviation experts, how would you know if Chinese made aircrafts are safe? just look at if government leaders are willing to travel on C919. Even if it is irony made by Chinese public, but for many years the label “Made in China” on most of the products  might always stands for cheap and low quality. For year Chinese aircraft manufacture COMAC is aiming to get certification for its current product ARJ21 and on coming product C919, getting a certified by FAA will be recognition of quality and standard and giving the public more confident to travel on the Chinese made aircraft. I would say this is a first step mad by COMAC and they are catching up very quickly, they used 10 years to accomplished something that took Boeing for more than 50 years.   

In my opinion, it is still too early to say if the C919 will be able to get certified by FAA, as the aircraft was recently rolled out, and the testing was not even started yet. The detailed of the result of test flight will able to determine if the plane can be certified. It is way too early to tell. However according to COMAC’s previous product regional airliner ARJ21-700. (COMAC, n,d) Which is still under testing stage after it has been rolled out nearly 10 years, we could see that there are a lot of challengers for COMAC to get certified by FAA.

So far I do not see any impact on U.S carrier even if it is certified, I do not see the market of the C919 in the U.S.  As we can see most of the U.S carrier are loyal to their current customer. Delta is still prefer Airbuses, AA is still prefers Boeing. For Low cost carriers it is cost saving for them to keep small varieties of their fleets, for example southwest is keeping their fleet all 737 series and Spirit is keeping their fleet all in A320 series. So I do not see a big opportunity for C919 to enter U.S market, unless it involves with politic trades.

As we can see, most buyers of C919 are not even airliner carrier; they are mostly government owned financing institute of China for example ABC (Agricultural bank of Chinese) 50 aircrafts, CBC (Construction bank of China) 30 aircrafts, (Chiu, 2014), will they ever receive their aircrafts? Do they have to pay for the orders? Who knows?

So lets take a look at order placed by Chinese carriers, Chinese top 5 carriers, Air china, Chinese Eastern, China Southern, Hainan airlines, Xia men airlines, each placed 20 aircrafts orders. (Chiu,2014) Since these companies are all government subsidies it is still very suspicious if these orders are involved with politic mission, how about lets take a look at biggest Chinese carrier China Eastern, they are currently operating 161 Airbus A320 aircraft which is the direct competitor of C919, and they are receiving 131 more of both newest airbus newest narrow body products A320NEO, which make them the biggest a320 operator in the world and they also recently place a 60 Boeing 737-800 orders. Compared to the 20 aircrafts order placed fro C919, it is very east to tell which products Chinese carrier prefers more. (Sinodefence, 2015)

Finally, Both Boeing and Airbus did not directly response to the roll out of C919, as we can see C919 is still in a very early stage of product. It still requires many years of testing flight before It can officially put into service. Furthermore as we can see so far c919 did not create any impact to both Boeing and airbus,. Chinese carrier still placing huge order china Southern placed a 110 aircraft over 10 billions, and Chinese Eastern placed 7.9 billion with 80 737 and 20 777-300. (Krishnamoorthy ,2015)


China's Long March to the 'Big Jet Club' (2015). Retrieved from http://sinodefence.com/2015/12/12/chinas-long-march-to-the-big-jet-club/

Chiu, J. (n.d.). China's Comac Gets More C919 Jet Orders. Retrieved March 27, 2016, from http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-comac-gets-more-c919-jet-orders-1415693564

Comac Product list. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://english.comac.cc/products/rj/pi2/

Krishnamoorthy, A. (n.d.). Boeing Secures $4.6 Billion China Eastern Plane Order. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-09/boeing-secures-4-6-billion-china-eastern-order-for-new-aircraft


2 条评论:

  1. I think you bring up a good point about how each of the airlines are very loyal to the companies they already choose to do business with. I agree that this doesn’t provide an opportunity here in the United States for the C919 to establish a market. I think you bring up a good point about the C919 getting FAA certification. It is really early to tell if this aircraft will get certification and like COMAC’s previous aircraft, the ARJ21, it will take a lot of time and could face a lot of problems before it receives FAA certification. Time will tell if this aircraft will become FAA certified and it will be interesting to see if it does or not.

    回复删除
  2. I think that the bigger problem is not just the FAA and EASA certification but the general public's willingness to accept flying on a chinese made jet. Like you said, there has always been a reputation for "made in China" to be cheap and unreliable. Now the general public doesn't know the difference between an A320 and B737, but the people buying it will and they won't want to gamble millions of dollars on an untested aircraft

    回复删除